There is a physician shortage in the United States that is especially acute in primary care, according to the Association of American Medical Colleges. The physician shortage could reach 86,000 doctors by 2036, of which nearly half of the missing doctors could reflect shortages in primary care. One reason is demographics. The average age of physicians is 47 for women and 55 for men. Many of the older practicing physicians are among the Baby Boomer generation, who will be retiring soon and need care for themselves as they grow old. Another reason for the shortage is a 1996 federal law capping the number of graduate medical education training slots that Medicare will fund.
A partial solution is expanding the scope of practice for so-called mid-level providers, nurse practitioners (NPs) and physicians’ assistants (PAs). In recent years many states have granted more practice autonomy for NPs and PAs. Mid-level providers are an area of growth in the medical industry. Between 2016 and 2021 the number of NPs increased by 75%, while the number of PAs rose by 43%. However, only about one-third of NPs want to be primary care providers, while less than one-third of PAs want to work in primary care. Here is what Kaiser Health News had to say:
For many patients, seeing a nurse practitioner has become a routine part of primary care, in which these “NPs” often perform the same tasks that patients have relied on doctors for.