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The Goodman Institute Health Blog

Article on Health Care Prices Goes Off the Rails

Posted on January 10, 2023 by Devon Herrick

Have you ever noticed that liberal news outlets can trip over the facts and fail to see their relevance? Even in the rare event they stumble onto relevant facts they draw the wrong conclusions. CNBC just discovered (nearly 60 years after economists warned of the danger) that health insurance may have resulted in higher heath care prices. In the article, “How health insurance may have made health care more expensive,” the reporter quotes a variety of health policy analysts. Dr. Kongstvedt, an expert she interviewed, gave her all the information she needs to know.

“It was when you get this third-party payer system where the patient doesn’t have to pay all of the cost of it directly, the insurer pays a chunk of it,” said. Dr. Peter Kongstvedt, a senior health policy faculty member at George Mason University. “That gives you relentless upward pressure on pricing, because if you’re going to get paid, why not get paid some more?”

Then the reporter fell for the red herring fallacy that too little prevention and a lack of transparency are also to blame.

There are many complicated reasons for the rise in the cost of care such as not prioritizing preventive care or a lack of price transparency, but one of the biggest catalysts for inflation was the rise of health insurance.

By the way, prevention may be desirable but it’s a myth that more preventive care would lower health care spending. Prevention actually increases health care spending. The reason is because you are spending money on a lot of people who would never have gotten sick. Prevention certainly would not lower health care prices and prices are the primary problem. Furthermore, the lack of transparency is due to providers not competing on price. Why compete on price when your customer is not price sensitive because insurance is paying the bill?

Paradoxically CNBC then goes on to lament the rise in high-deductible health insurance plans and blames them for the rise in medical debt.

As health-care prices rose over the past fifty years, patients were being asked to pay more out of pocket when they received care.

“The history of medical debt is basically a history of the changing answer to the following question: When the patient can’t pay the bill, who foots it?” said Dr. Luke Messac, an emergency physician at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston who is writing a book about the history of medical debt.

Perhaps the reporter didn’t quote the entire interview, but the last quotation sounds like Dr. Messac is trying to make the argument that hospitals shift costs on other payers when patients cannot pay their bills. That’s an old argument that basically posits that since we pay for the uninsured and the underinsured anyway, we may as well subsidize their coverage directly. Most of the health economists I know no longer believe cost-shifting occurs. The reason is simple: if hospitals could shift costs on to some customers to subsidize other (less lucrative) customers, they’d do it anyway absent the less lucrative customers. Writing in JAMA Forum (2017), economist Austin Frakt said: “The evidence is substantial. Hospitals do not cost shift…”

CNBC finally concludes that medical debt is rising because Americans don’t have enough insurance, but insurance is the reason prices are so high. Yet, it’s not the high prices that led to medical debt, it’s bad insurance.

The average deductible for an individual in 2022 is around $1,760, which is double what it was in 2006 when adjusted for inflation.

Now I’m really confused, and my head is starting to hurt trying to make sense of this argument. The article barely explains that high-deductible plans were designed to give patients more skin in the game to partially blunt the perverse incentives of having too much insurance.

3 thoughts on “Article on Health Care Prices Goes Off the Rails”

  1. Bob Hertz says:
    January 11, 2023 at 9:22 am

    I respectfully disagree with a couple of your statements here:

    1. Numerous countries have comprehensive health insurance but do not have rapidly rising health care prices: Germany, France, and Denmark come to mind right away, and I am sure I can find more examples.

    That is because they regulate prices quite vigorously. Now one can argue that price regulation has downsides, i.e. less innovation and less high-tech care for some illnesses. But one cannot argue that prices are always driven up by insurance.

    Virtually all Americans have car insurance, but the prices for auto-body repair do not seem to have grown all that much. (This is just my impression.)

    2.Your final statement about the growth of high-deductible plans is not the whole story.

    These plans were (and still are) advanced as a way to lower insurance premiums. If an employer is presented with a 25% increase in their company health insurance rates, they will look at any alternative that keeps a lid on their costs. The whole narrative about skin in the game is not false, but it has not been the primary motivation in many cases.

    When I sold health insurance, the buyers did not comment or think about skin in the game, They would buy insurance from Mars if it cut down their premium.

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  2. Bob Hertz says:
    January 11, 2023 at 1:28 pm

    Just to add an academic article that I have learned from:

    https://lawreview.law.ucdavis.edu/issues/54/3/articles/files/54-3_Cogan.pdf

    “The Failed Economics of Consumer Directed Health Plans.” by John Cogan

    He stresses over and over again that health care prices are driven by market consolidation and monopoly power, not by levels of health insurance.

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  3. Bob Hertz says:
    January 11, 2023 at 1:35 pm

    Trenchant comment from Prof. John Cogan in ‘The Failed Economics of CHDP’s”…..

    ” Despite the expansion of CDHPs since the early 2000s, the
    steady increase in the size of deductibles (more consumer power, as
    CDHP advocates might say), and the relatively flat level health care
    utilization of medical care over the last few years, medical prices have
    risen dramatically. Not only are CDHPs incapable of lowering prices,
    they cannot fix the underlying problems — consolidation of hospitals,
    acquisitions of physician practices, and consolidation of physician
    practices. With respect to controlling hospital and physician prices,
    CDHPs are a bust.”

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